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daily prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Houston high ≥ 86°F · Mon Oct 19

15¢
american +581 · decimal 6.81
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1310/19 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
ndfd
54¢
nbm
46¢
eps
22¢
hres
12¢
aifs
11¢
icon
7¢
wn2
6¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F12¢
78–79°F39¢
80–81°F37¢
82–83°F10¢
84–85°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261019-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-12T11:35:37+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape