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daily prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

A 90° day in Houston · Mon Oct 19

2¢
american +5163 · decimal 52.63
on the tape
Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1310/19 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
18¢
ndfd
14¢
icon
5¢
eps
3¢
hres
2¢
aifs
2¢
wn2
0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F12¢
78–79°F39¢
80–81°F37¢
82–83°F10¢
84–85°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261019-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:47+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape