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week prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sun Oct 25

Houston touches 90°F sometime this week

58¢
american -141 · decimal 1.71
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/1810/1810/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Mon Oct 19
0¢
Tue Oct 20
0¢
Wed Oct 21
4¢
Thu Oct 22
13¢
Fri Oct 23
20¢
Sat Oct 24
24¢
Sun Oct 25
18¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261025-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-18T08:01:36+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape