daily prop · Wichita, KS · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Wichita runs hot-for-here: 82°F+ · Mon Oct 19

2¢

american +5276 · decimal 53.76

on the tape

82°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		14¢
ndfd		10¢
hres		8¢
nbm		4¢
aifs		1¢
wn2		1¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

60–61°F1¢

62–63°F3¢

64–65°F9¢

66–67°F18¢

68–69°F24¢

70–71°F22¢

72–73°F14¢

74–75°F6¢

76–77°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,255 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.863.

Receipts

prop id WP-KICT-20261019-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:39+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape