daily prop · Indianapolis, IN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Indianapolis stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 53°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 55

whiplash on the tape

53°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 53°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 92¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		60¢
hres		30¢
rrfs		29¢
nbm		25¢
ndfd		24¢
wn2		22¢
aifs		20¢
eps		2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIND-20261017-TMAX-LE53 · opened 2026-10-13T08:03:34+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:02+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape