WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Indianapolis, IN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Indianapolis high ≥ 73°F · Tue Oct 20

30¢
american +238 · decimal 3.38
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 73°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
74¢
ndfd
54¢
wn2
50¢
icon
28¢
hres
27¢
nbm
25¢
eps
9¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F3¢
68–69°F25¢
70–71°F47¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIND-20261020-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-13T11:05:19+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape