— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
64¢
wn2
59¢
ndfd
54¢
icon
52¢
nbm
46¢
hres
28¢
eps
14¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F8¢
70–71°F17¢
72–73°F24¢
74–75°F24¢
76–77°F15¢
78–79°F6¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KJAX-20261024-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-18T14:55:39+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape