— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
74¢
wn2
72¢
nbm
56¢
hres
45¢
icon
33¢
eps
24¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F2¢
72–73°F8¢
74–75°F18¢
76–77°F26¢
78–79°F24¢
80–81°F14¢
82–83°F5¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,387 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.601 vs climatology 8.75.
Receipts
prop id WP-KJAX-20261027-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-20T10:53:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape