daily prop · Las Vegas, NV · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sun Oct 18

Las Vegas high ≥ 81°F · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 78

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 81°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 81¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		64¢
aifs		58¢
nbm		56¢
hres		35¢
eps		26¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAS-20261018-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:52+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:39:38+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape