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daily prop · Las Vegas, NV · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Las Vegas high ≥ 77°F · Tue Oct 20

73¢
american -274 · decimal 1.36
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hres
96¢
aifs
85¢
eps
76¢
wn2
74¢
nbm
54¢
ndfd
54¢
icon
24¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F2¢
80–81°F19¢
82–83°F46¢
84–85°F28¢
86–87°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAS-20261020-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-13T11:05:29+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape