WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Las Vegas, NV · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Las Vegas high ≥ 78°F · Tue Oct 20

76¢
american -324 · decimal 1.31
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1610/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hres
97¢
eps
88¢
aifs
85¢
wn2
63¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
46¢
icon
45¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F2¢
80–81°F19¢
82–83°F46¢
84–85°F28¢
86–87°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAS-20261020-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-16T04:25:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape