daily prop · Las Vegas, NV · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Las Vegas high ≥ 84°F · Tue Oct 20

22¢

american +361 · decimal 4.61

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		59¢
rrfs		54¢
hrrr		50¢
now		50¢
hres		37¢
eps		28¢
nbm		25¢
aifs		21¢
wn2		10¢
icon		7¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F2¢

80–81°F19¢

82–83°F46¢

84–85°F28¢

86–87°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAS-20261020-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-20T04:05:50+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape