— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
99¢
eps
97¢
icon
91¢
aifs
83¢
wn2
70¢
ndfd
54¢
nbm
46¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F3¢
68–69°F9¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F26¢
74–75°F23¢
76–77°F14¢
78–79°F5¢
80–81°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAS-20261022-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-17T04:42:42+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape