daily prop · Las Vegas, NV · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 26

Las Vegas runs hot-for-here: 85°F+ · Mon Oct 26

2¢

american +4286 · decimal 43.86

on the tape

85°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		26¢
aifs		16¢
hres		14¢
ndfd		2¢
wn2		2¢
nbm		1¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F1¢

66–67°F3¢

68–69°F6¢

70–71°F10¢

72–73°F14¢

74–75°F17¢

76–77°F17¢

78–79°F14¢

80–81°F9¢

82–83°F5¢

84–85°F2¢

86–87°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAS-20261026-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-19T07:34:01+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape