— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
88¢
hres
79¢
eps
68¢
wn2
63¢
nbm
54¢
icon
22¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F1¢
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F5¢
70–71°F9¢
72–73°F13¢
74–75°F16¢
76–77°F16¢
78–79°F14¢
80–81°F10¢
82–83°F6¢
84–85°F3¢
86–87°F2¢
88–89°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,387 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.601 vs climatology 8.75.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAS-20261027-TMAX-GE74 · opened 2026-10-20T10:54:29+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape