daily prop · Los Angeles, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Los Angeles high ≥ 89°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 90

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		97¢
aifs		92¢
wn2		71¢
hres		58¢
icon		57¢
ndfd		56¢
nbm		44¢
eps		20¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAX-20261017-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-11T04:30:56+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:22+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape