daily prop · Los Angeles, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

A 90° day in Los Angeles · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 90

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		76¢
hrrr		76¢
aifs		76¢
hres		51¢
icon		51¢
wn2		49¢
rrfs		49¢
nbm		43¢
eps		17¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAX-20261017-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-10T22:28:11+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:23+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape