— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hrrr
96¢
aifs
85¢
icon
76¢
ndfd
56¢
hres
54¢
wn2
53¢
eps
49¢
nbm
44¢
rrfs
33¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
76–77°F1¢
78–79°F4¢
80–81°F11¢
82–83°F20¢
84–85°F24¢
86–87°F21¢
88–89°F12¢
90–91°F5¢
92–93°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,205 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261018-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-13T15:41:56+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape