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daily prop · Los Angeles, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sun Oct 18

Los Angeles high ≥ 86°F · Sun Oct 18

50¢
american -100 · decimal 2.0
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0310/1210/18 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
icon
91¢
aifs
82¢
ndfd
54¢
nbm
46¢
wn2
35¢
hres
26¢
eps
23¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F1¢
80–81°F10¢
82–83°F39¢
84–85°F39¢
86–87°F10¢
88–89°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAX-20261018-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-12T04:02:05+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape