— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
32¢
icon
16¢
hrrr
14¢
eps
10¢
hres
7¢
ndfd
4¢
nbm
2¢
wn2
2¢
rrfs
1¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
76–77°F1¢
78–79°F4¢
80–81°F11¢
82–83°F20¢
84–85°F24¢
86–87°F21¢
88–89°F12¢
90–91°F5¢
92–93°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,203 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.873.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261018-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:47+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape