— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
19¢
ndfd
18¢
nbm
18¢
wn2
2¢
aifs
2¢
icon
1¢
eps
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F3¢
74–75°F12¢
76–77°F26¢
78–79°F30¢
80–81°F19¢
82–83°F7¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261020-TMAX-LE67 · opened 2026-10-16T14:19:59+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape