WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Los Angeles, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Wed Oct 21

Los Angeles touches 100°F sometime this week

2¢
american +4573 · decimal 46.73
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
Not enough price history yet — check back after the next model cycle.
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Thu Oct 15
0¢
Fri Oct 16
2¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Sun Oct 18
0¢
Mon Oct 19
0¢
Tue Oct 20
0¢
Wed Oct 21
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLAX-20261021-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-10-15T07:03:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape