— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
85¢
wn2
81¢
eps
75¢
icon
61¢
nbm
59¢
ndfd
55¢
hres
53¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F2¢
64–65°F8¢
66–67°F19¢
68–69°F27¢
70–71°F24¢
72–73°F13¢
74–75°F5¢
76–77°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,361 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.86.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261022-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-16T04:25:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape