week prop · Los Angeles, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Thu Oct 22
Los Angeles touches 100°F sometime this week
4¢
american +2375 · decimal 24.75
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Fri Oct 16
4¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Sun Oct 18
0¢
Mon Oct 19
0¢
Tue Oct 20
0¢
Wed Oct 21
0¢
Thu Oct 22
0¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261022-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-10-16T04:25:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape