— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
88¢
wn2
84¢
hres
62¢
nbm
54¢
eps
50¢
icon
38¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F2¢
70–71°F5¢
72–73°F10¢
74–75°F14¢
76–77°F18¢
78–79°F18¢
80–81°F14¢
82–83°F10¢
84–85°F5¢
86–87°F2¢
88–89°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,263 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.483 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261024-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-10-17T07:45:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape