— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
92¢
hres
87¢
wn2
79¢
eps
57¢
nbm
53¢
icon
51¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F1¢
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F4¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F10¢
74–75°F13¢
76–77°F14¢
78–79°F14¢
80–81°F12¢
82–83°F9¢
84–85°F6¢
86–87°F4¢
88–89°F2¢
90–91°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,335 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.605 vs climatology 8.757.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261026-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-19T07:33:53+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape