daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Fri Oct 16

New York high ≥ 73°F · Fri Oct 16

YES

settled · observed 75

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 73°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		97¢
hres		90¢
ndfd		55¢
eps		53¢
aifs		53¢
nbm		47¢
wn2		36¢
rrfs		26¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261016-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-12T15:26:24+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:51:22+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape