daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

New York high ≥ 60°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 63

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 60°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 1¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		78¢
icon		72¢
ndfd		53¢
nbm		53¢
wn2		42¢
hres		27¢
aifs		24¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261017-TMAX-GE60 · opened 2026-10-11T15:11:19+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:31+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape