daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

New York high ≥ 60°F · Mon Oct 19

83¢

american -502 · decimal 1.2

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 60°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		99¢
rrfs		93¢
icon		89¢
aifs		87¢
hres		73¢
ndfd		55¢
nbm		55¢
eps		44¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F13¢

62–63°F40¢

64–65°F36¢

66–67°F9¢

68–69°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261019-TMAX-GE60 · opened 2026-10-16T15:05:05+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape