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daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

New York high ≥ 64°F · Mon Oct 19

53¢
american -115 · decimal 1.87
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1310/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
wn2
86¢
aifs
66¢
ndfd
59¢
hres
53¢
nbm
41¢
rrfs
38¢
eps
37¢
icon
22¢
hrrr
10¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F13¢
62–63°F40¢
64–65°F36¢
66–67°F9¢
68–69°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261019-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-12T11:35:16+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape