daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

New York runs hot-for-here: 74°F+ · Mon Oct 19

2¢

american +6189 · decimal 62.89

on the tape

74°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 74°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		26¢
ndfd		8¢
wn2		4¢
aifs		2¢
hres		2¢
nbm		2¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F11¢

62–63°F41¢

64–65°F38¢

66–67°F9¢

68–69°F0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261019-TMAX-GE74 · opened 2026-10-12T07:47:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape