daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

New York stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 54°F · Mon Oct 19

2¢

american +6352 · decimal 64.52

on the tape

54°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 54°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		13¢
nbm		7¢
eps		5¢
ndfd		5¢
icon		4¢
aifs		3¢
wn2		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F11¢

62–63°F41¢

64–65°F38¢

66–67°F9¢

68–69°F0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261019-TMAX-LE54 · opened 2026-10-15T07:48:47+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape