— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
82¢
eps
76¢
ndfd
54¢
aifs
54¢
icon
40¢
nbm
33¢
hres
29¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
56–57°F2¢
58–59°F8¢
60–61°F20¢
62–63°F30¢
64–65°F25¢
66–67°F12¢
68–69°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,410 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.692 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLGA-20261021-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-15T16:19:52+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape