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daily prop · Kansas City, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Kansas City high ≥ 68°F · Mon Oct 19

36¢
american +178 · decimal 2.78
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1510/19 03:45
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
68¢
hrrr
65¢
ndfd
56¢
eps
56¢
rrfs
51¢
nbm
41¢
wn2
33¢
hres
23¢
icon
9¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F3¢
66–67°F28¢
68–69°F52¢
70–71°F17¢
72–73°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMCI-20261019-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-18T04:14:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape