daily prop · Kansas City, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

Kansas City runs hot-for-here: 78°F+ · Tue Oct 20

2¢

american +4286 · decimal 43.86

on the tape

78°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		26¢
aifs		22¢
eps		4¢
hres		2¢
wn2		2¢
nbm		2¢
icon		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

66–67°F3¢

68–69°F24¢

70–71°F47¢

72–73°F24¢

74–75°F3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMCI-20261020-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-15T04:02:16+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape