daily prop · Kansas City, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 24

Kansas City runs hot-for-here: 77°F+ · Sat Oct 24

66¢

american -194 · decimal 1.52

on the tape

77°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		88¢
aifs		80¢
icon		75¢
hres		66¢
ndfd		54¢
eps		50¢
nbm		33¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F2¢

72–73°F7¢

74–75°F14¢

76–77°F21¢

78–79°F23¢

80–81°F17¢

82–83°F10¢

84–85°F4¢

86–87°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMCI-20261024-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:38+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape