daily prop · Orlando, FL · Southeast · settles Wed Oct 21

Orlando runs hot-for-here: 88°F+ · Wed Oct 21

2¢

american +6523 · decimal 66.23

on the tape

88°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 88°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		20¢
aifs		17¢
icon		14¢
hres		10¢
ndfd		8¢
eps		0¢
nbm		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

76–77°F2¢

78–79°F9¢

80–81°F25¢

82–83°F34¢

84–85°F22¢

86–87°F7¢

88–89°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMCO-20261021-TMAX-GE88 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape