— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
78¢
icon
77¢
aifs
76¢
eps
74¢
hres
65¢
nbm
56¢
ndfd
54¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F3¢
76–77°F8¢
78–79°F17¢
80–81°F24¢
82–83°F23¢
84–85°F15¢
86–87°F7¢
88–89°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,315 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.48 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMCO-20261025-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-19T04:30:32+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape