daily prop · Memphis, TN · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 18

Memphis runs hot-for-here: 84°F+ · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 70

whiplash on the tape

84°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		15¢
ndfd		10¢
nbm		6¢
hres		5¢
eps		2¢
aifs		1¢
wn2		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMEM-20261018-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-11T07:31:59+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:40:11+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape