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daily prop · Memphis, TN · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

Memphis high ≥ 75°F · Mon Oct 19

49¢
american +106 · decimal 2.06
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1510/19 00:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
72¢
aifs
59¢
nbm
56¢
ndfd
56¢
icon
42¢
hres
36¢
rrfs
28¢
wn2
22¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F1¢
72–73°F11¢
74–75°F38¢
76–77°F38¢
78–79°F11¢
80–81°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMEM-20261019-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-14T15:12:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape