— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
25¢
ndfd
10¢
aifs
10¢
hres
9¢
wn2
2¢
nbm
1¢
eps
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F6¢
76–77°F19¢
78–79°F33¢
80–81°F28¢
82–83°F11¢
84–85°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,561 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.512 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMEM-20261021-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:46+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape