daily prop · Memphis, TN · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 26

Memphis runs hot-for-here: 82°F+ · Mon Oct 26

23¢

american +341 · decimal 4.41

on the tape

82°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		44¢
wn2		41¢
aifs		34¢
hres		28¢
ndfd		22¢
nbm		16¢
eps		15¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F3¢

72–73°F7¢

74–75°F12¢

76–77°F18¢

78–79°F20¢

80–81°F18¢

82–83°F12¢

84–85°F7¢

86–87°F3¢

88–89°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMEM-20261026-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-19T07:33:03+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape