daily prop · Miami, FL · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 16

Miami high ≥ 89°F · Fri Oct 16

YES

settled · observed 90

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 9¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		91¢
ndfd		87¢
now		84¢
eps		81¢
hrrr		79¢
aifs		66¢
wn2		64¢
hres		62¢
icon		26¢
rrfs		20¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMIA-20261016-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-10T04:17:01+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:51:57+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape