daily prop · Miami, FL · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 16

A 90° day in Miami · Fri Oct 16

YES

settled · observed 90

longshot hit on the tape

Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 7¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		75¢
nbm		67¢
eps		62¢
now		59¢
hrrr		57¢
aifs		54¢
hres		51¢
wn2		48¢
icon		17¢
rrfs		10¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMIA-20261016-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-09T07:51:07+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:51:57+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape