daily prop · Miami, FL · Southeast · settles Sat Oct 17

Miami high ≥ 87°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 90

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 87°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 11¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		88¢
nbm		67¢
aifs		62¢
icon		61¢
hres		60¢
wn2		60¢
ndfd		55¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMIA-20261017-TMAX-GE87 · opened 2026-10-10T22:27:07+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:55+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape