— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
60¢
ndfd
55¢
wn2
34¢
nbm
33¢
hres
30¢
aifs
28¢
icon
21¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F2¢
80–81°F7¢
82–83°F18¢
84–85°F28¢
86–87°F26¢
88–89°F14¢
90–91°F5¢
92–93°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,104 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.883.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMIA-20261018-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-12T04:01:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape