daily prop · Miami, FL · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Miami runs hot-for-here: 88°F+ · Tue Oct 20

11¢

american +810 · decimal 9.1

on the tape

88°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 88°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		31¢
wn2		29¢
aifs		29¢
eps		20¢
hres		15¢
nbm		6¢
icon		4¢
rrfs		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F1¢

80–81°F5¢

82–83°F19¢

84–85°F34¢

86–87°F28¢

88–89°F11¢

90–91°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMIA-20261020-TMAX-GE88 · opened 2026-10-13T08:03:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape