— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
86¢
wn2
61¢
nbm
59¢
icon
58¢
ndfd
55¢
aifs
54¢
hres
35¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F2¢
80–81°F9¢
82–83°F25¢
84–85°F34¢
86–87°F22¢
88–89°F7¢
90–91°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,361 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.86.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMIA-20261022-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-17T04:41:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape