— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
73¢
nbm
59¢
ndfd
54¢
aifs
52¢
icon
49¢
wn2
47¢
hres
21¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
76–77°F1¢
78–79°F4¢
80–81°F15¢
82–83°F28¢
84–85°F29¢
86–87°F16¢
88–89°F5¢
90–91°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,263 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.483 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMIA-20261024-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape