— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
98¢
wn2
62¢
icon
62¢
nbm
56¢
ndfd
53¢
hres
51¢
aifs
43¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
76–77°F2¢
78–79°F8¢
80–81°F18¢
82–83°F26¢
84–85°F24¢
86–87°F14¢
88–89°F5¢
90–91°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,214 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.858 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMIA-20261025-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-19T04:30:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape